volatility in 2007

January 4, 2008 at 12:01 am | Posted in economy, USA | Leave a comment
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2007 Volatility: Below Historical Average

Thursday, January 03, 2008 | 11:45 AM

I keep hearing how there was an unusual amount of volatility in 2007.

That assessment is wrong. We have become used to the aberrationally low volatility of recent years, but historically, we are just below average, according to Bespoke Group:

“The average absolute daily price change in the S&P 500 by year. In 2007, the average worked out to 72 basis points, which means that, on average, the S&P 500 had a daily move (up or down) of 0.72% versus an average of 0.75% since 1928. The last time the market was this ‘placid’ was in 1996.”

SPX Chart:
>

Average_daily_change

Source:
VOLATILITY? WHAT VOLATILITY?
Think B.I.G., December 31, 2007 at 11:41 AM
http://bespokeinvest.typepad.com/bespoke/2007/12/volatility-what.html

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